RE: virus: Studying Ad Populem

From: Kalkor (kalkor@kalkor.com)
Date: Mon Sep 29 2003 - 15:25:23 MDT

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    [Kalkor]
    Ok, I've trimmed and copied and snipped a bit, to change this particular
    discussion from one about an argument to one about argument. If anyone has
    any problems with my snipping, please let me know.

    So, my original proposal for this discussion, which I have purposefully left
    out of this iteration of the thread (so that I can re-propose it in a
    different manner), was this:

    If the argument, "lots of people agree with this guy so he must be correct"
    is fallacious, then wouldn't the approximate converse, "lots of people
    disagree with this guy so he must be incorrect" also be fallacious?

    [Hermit]
    Any fallacy has to be based on the fact that the underlying information is
    not accurate and relevant or that an argument is unsound or not compelling.

    As academia works on the basis of consensus, the number of academics
    accepting a work is relevent.
    [snip]
    So his rejection not being in question, and the number rejecting him being
    relevent, I don't think that argumentum ad populam applies.

    [Kalkor]
    As Hermit points out, a fallacy just tells us that the argument is
    inaccurate, irrelevant, unsound, or not compelling. (if this is not a
    complete list, please help me here guys ;-})

    So, where would an argument such as, "His work is not regarded
    as exceptional by any significant academic group and his character is viewed
    as flawed." fit into our scheme? On the one hand, since it's an academic in
    discussion, whether he's viewed as correct by the rest of academia is surely
    relevant. On the other hand, not being regarded as exceptional does not
    necessarily imply being regarded as substandard (argumentum ad ignorantiam).
    Furthermore, would the argument "his character is viewed as flawed (by an
    academic group)," have ANY relevance to any discussion other than about the
    character of a man?

    [Jonathan Davis]
    It is also a fallacy, know as Argumentum ad Odium (See
    http://gncurtis.home.texas.net/emotiona.html ) and related to Argumentum ad
    Numerum (see http://www.infidels.org/news/atheism/logic.html#numerum).

    [Kalkor]
    Jonathan pointed us to some fallacy taxonomy websites, and I will quote from
    the second one:
    [quote]
    Argumentum ad numerum

    This fallacy is closely related to the argumentum ad populum. It consists of
    asserting that the more people who support or believe a proposition, the
    more likely it is that that proposition is correct.
    [/quote]
    The approximate converse of this would be to assert "the fewer people who
    support or believe a proposition, the less likely it is that the proposition
    is correct." This is one of the explicit foundations behind the scientific
    method, afaik. The proposition being, in most cases, "the results from the
    experiment do not falsify the hypothesis."

    I don't see the Ad Odium in this particular argument, but I've seen it in
    others. Thanks for the links, Jonathan. I'll be doing some work on my
    taxonomy after reading the second one a bit more.

    [Blunderov]
    I think there is a difference between ad populem (everybody says so) and
    'peer review' which is an accepted part, as I understand, of the
    scientific method. Of course peer review does not guarantee a 'correct'
    opinion, but it does seem probable that any such opinion will at least
    be based on the best available information on any given subject.

    We will often have to trust in the best efforts of experts in a field,
    and then compare them to each other, in order to derive our own
    conclusions - it simply is not possible to read everything.

    I read once that a physician-specialist, for instance, would have to
    spend eight hours a day reading in order to just remain current in his
    specialty. In an ideal universe everyone would read everything, but
    given that this is impossible we will probably have to accept the peer
    review process as being the best we can do.

    One of the most important things we CAN do however is to sharpen and
    maintain our ability to reason. In this way we can gain the most benefit
    from that which we do have the time to read. Also it will give us a
    criterion for deciding what it is not necessary or rewarding to read.

    The debate between Jonathan and the Hermit was interesting to me not so
    much because of the subject (about which I know next to nothing) but
    because of their, mostly, adherence to the formal methodology of
    argument. This was educational for me and, I imagine, other Virians.

    It could have been, IMHO, even more educational from a specifically
    Varian point of view had they more resolutely couched their value
    judgments in terms of Scruton's conformity, or lack thereof, to the
    Virian ideals.(Not that they made no attempt to do so, but it did seem
    to become a bit diffused from time to time.)

    [Kalkor]
    Well said, and I agree. I, too, know very little about the subject of
    discussion, but observing the techniques IN the discussion is always
    educational for me here. Keep it up, guys!

    Kalkor

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